Years

2009

377 posts

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Parallel Fuel Cycles, Revisited

Reacting to last week’s Qom revelation, Andreas Persbo wrote that National technical means combined with human intelligence, however, seems to have averted the worst outcome, the establishment of a parallel fuel cycle. (See: Parallel Fuel Cycles, September 25, 2009.) So…

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The Kataev Archive

Holy cow. When I read Pavel Podvig’s excellent “The Window of Vulnerability That Wasn’t: Soviet Military Buildup in the 1970s,” I was struck at his sourcing: The main source of these data is the archival collection of Vitalii Kataev at…

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Cut and Cover

On the left, a GoogleEarth image dating from March 2005 showing the uncovered facilities existing at that time (before being buried); on the right, the probable main centrifuge hall as it appeared in late September 2009, also before being buried.…

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Rethinking US Nuclear Posture

Mike Gerson (the one from CNA, not the Bush speechwriter) and I are giving talks on the Nuclear Posture Review at the Carnegie Endowment today — he on declaratory posture; me on extended deterrence. James Acton is moderating. It will…

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Qom Enrichment Facility Roundup

There has been a lot of back-and-forth on the blog, especially in the comments, about the ongoing revelation of Iran’s enrichment facility near Qom. A couple of points: 1. Iran has unequivocally violated its safeguards obligations James Acton laid this…

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How Much Dirt?

GoogleEarth image, taken on 25 March 2005, Image of potential site of second Iranian enrichment center near Qom, blinked with ISIS image of the same site taken on 26 September 2009. As usual, ISIS has produced a wonderful set of…

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Qom, In The Basement

It is difficult to understate overstate the severity of the present crisis. President Obama had it exactly right on Friday morning when he said, Iran’s decision to build yet another nuclear facility without notifying the IAEA represents a direct challenge…

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Parallel fuel cycles

Today’s The letter from Iran to the IAEA is indeed a worrying development. As Jeffrey points out, our worst fears have been realized. Iran has – using the fact that IAEA inspectors cannot venture beyond declared strategic points – constructed…

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Covert Site in Iran

The United States, France and Britain have announced that Iran is building a second centrifuge facility at a site near Qom. Laura Rozen has QandA’s and talking points from the White House. The general reaction is that “this changes everything.”…

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Paradox: Now is the Time to Deal

Iran has admitted that it has at least one (and there is no reason to believe that there are not more) secret enrichment facilities. More information will undoubtedly come out in the coming days but we can deal now with…