Years · 2009

May 2009

40 posts

Article

Kissinger on Offense/Defense Mix

Another entry from Michael Krepon’s shoebox, this one from Henry Kissinger — in his days as an academic — on the right mix of offensive and defensive strategic forces: The tensions between strategic offenses and defenses has been a constant…

Article

DPRK: Why did the 2006 launch fail?

click on the image for a larger version The reconstructed flight path angle and the fitted pitch program are shown as a function of time after launch. The flight path angle is found using the fitted trajectory to provide a…

Article

2009/2010 College Debate Topic

The 2009/2010 College Debate Topic is about nuclear weapons. The United States should decrease its reliance on nuclear weapons. I was asked for reading suggestions. Mine are: (1) John Steinbruner, Managing Deterrent Operations, Chapter 2 of Principles of Global Security…

Article

Chilton Repeats the Vacuum Tube Myth

Global Security Newswire’s Elaine Grossman asked STRATCOM Command General Kevin Chilton about the Bulletin article in which Kingston Reif and I called him out for his misleading claim that the RRW program is needed to remove vacuum tubes from the…

Article

North Korea's Next Steps

I was struggling with what to say about the increasingly dire situation in North Korea, when I discovered that Sig Hecker did it for me in the Bulletin: In summary, North Korea is capable of carrying out its threat to…

Article

NCPC Site & 721 Report

The DNI National Counterproliferation Center (NPC) has a spiffy new website with several documents including — drumroll — the 2008 721 Report.

Article

Albert Wohlstetter on Proliferation

A belated posting from Michael Krepon’s shoebox but, I am sure Bob Zarate will agree, one worth the wait: Albert Wohlstetter worked at the RAND Corporation in the 1950s and 1960s where his analyses of surprise attack scenarios and the…

Article

China's Nuclear Stockpile, Revisited

How big is China’s nuclear stockpile? Benn Tannenbaum sends along this quote from Ed Corcoran who provides, er, a rather large range of estimates: China is neither ally nor adversary, but something in between. It is a nuclear power with…

Article

Shooting the Messenger (or not)

I was famously quoted in the New York Times (and in Newsweek) as saying about the failure of the April 5th, 2009 satellite launch attempt: It’s got to be embarrassing. I can imagine heads flying if the Dear Leader finds…

Article

The Trouble With Zero

Image is credited to “Shout” in the NYT. Philip Taubman, a former New York Times reporter now writing a book at Stanford, has a wonderful survey of the debate about nuclear abolition in the New York Times entitled, The Trouble…