Authors

Paul Kerr

Writing on ACW 2004–2021 · 161 posts

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Iran's Centrifuges Exploded…

…but that’s not, as the AP implied, a measure of the program’s current progress. Read here.

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Japan's Nuclear Options: Addendum

Just one thing to add to Jeffrey’s excellent post about Japan’s nuclear weapons potential… According to a 1999 DIA primer on future threats (which can be found here), Germany and Japan “could develop a nuclear warhead within a year should…

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New Blog

Jeffrey doesn’t like me anymore, so I have a new blog. TotalWonkerr.com is now up and running. The inaugural post is here. Chenqui.

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NPT Wreckage

That ongoing effort is being broadcast on CSPAN2. Will someone please point out that India’s population size, type of government, and economic growth don’t mean that it gets to have nuclear weapons? Anyway, ACA sponsored a related event on Tuesday.…

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More on NCRI and Iran

Adding to Jeffrey’s post… Annoyed for similar reasons, I pointed out a while back that the NCRI on its own doesn’t appear to have produced a whole lot of actionable intelligence on Iran. To an extent, though, I guess one…

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Garwin & Von Hippel on NORK Nuke Test

ACA just posted an analysis from Richard L. Garwin and Frank N. von Hippel on the DPRK nuclear test. It contains some evidence that I don’t think has been made public before. Here’s an example: …it is not surprising that…

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Shorter Bill Arkin

Arkin takes on a massive straw-figure in a post which says something about North Korea and nuclear weapons. Allow me to paraphrase: Unnamed “Ambulance Chasers of the Apocalypse” point to the dangers of a nuclear-armed North Korea – as well…

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Department of Silly

I was re-reading some ACT pieces last night and came across a gem from SecState Rice this past July on US North Korea policy. Here’s the quote in full: I just want to say to China that the responsibility that…

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DPRK Test: What About that Radionuclide Data?

NHK and Yonhap have both reported on what Japan and South Korea have found in the atmosphere after the DPRK’s Monday test: bagel. According to NHK: Japan’s 47 prefectures say no radioactive substances have been detected at any measuring points…

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North Korea and Nuclear Forensics

I was at an event this morning where Michael Swaine raised the question of identifying North Korean uranium in the event that it were used in an attack by another state or terrorist organization. This subject has come up a…