Authors

Joshua Pollack

Writing on ACW 2008–2025 · 162 posts

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Iran's Equinox: FMP Comes Online

Cross-posted from TotalWonkerr.com. As visitors to the White House website know, today is the Zoroastrian new year, No Ruz (“New Day”), which is celebrated by pretty much all Iranians. It marks the vernal equinox, the transition between seasons. According to…

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Wonk Pissing Contest

Cross-posted from TotalWonkerr.com. The Iran breakout debate has officially become tiresome. Anyone bothering to read this blog will remember the instant analysis of the last IAEA report that ISIS put out. It got quite a bit of attention at the…

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Libya's Theory of the Hard Cases

Cross-posted from TotalWonkerr.com. Why the big struggles with Iran and North Korea over nuclear weapons, nuclear technology, and delivery systems? Libya’s ambassador to the UN has the Simple AnswerTM you’ve been looking for: “We gave some devices, some centrifuges, for…

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Non-Technological Safeguards

Cross-posted from TotalWonkerr.com. I’ve just stumbled across a paper, almost a year old now, by one Peter Friend, the head of Safeguards and Security at Urenco. It concerns the safeguarding of a centrifuge enrichment facility. Yes, this again. It includes…

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How Much Respect Does A Nuclear Arsenal Get?

Cross-posted from TotalWonkerr.com. On August 31, 1998, North Korea conducted its first launch of a multi-stage ballistic missile, which flew over Japan. It failed to deliver a satellite into orbit, notwithstanding the boasts of state broadcasters. On January 10, 2003,…

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Signing Off

Jeff gets back tomorrow, so I’m done here. Thanks for paying attention to my random thoughts.

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Nothing New Beneath The Sun

The text of Pavel Podvig’s new article (“The Window of Vulnerability That Wasn’t: Soviet Military Buildup in the 1970s”) is available at his website. The outlines of the story are familiar enough: Although the Soviet Union denied that the purpose…

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Safeguards at Natanz

Warning: long post. Observing the frequent travels of the IAEA’s Olli Heinonen to Iran of late, Andreas Persbo suggests that the negotiation of new safeguards measures may be underway for the still-incomplete gas-centrifuge enrichment plant at Natanz, currently undergoing low-level…

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Here We Go 'Round The Mulberry Bush

Comeback time already? I’m pretty sure this was made of concrete. Following are some excerpts from a translation of the August 26, 2008 statement of the North Korean Foreign Ministry Spokesman. The full text appears in the comments. The official…

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Iran's Ashura Missile Mystery

[Be careful what (comments) you ask for. Geoff Forden suggests that the premise is mistaken, and the Ashura isn’t necessarily solid-fueled at all. See the comments section below.] Say we woke up one morning, Gregor Samsa-like, to find that all…