Writing on ACW 2008–2025 · 162 posts
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A picture is worth… You already know the saying. But what’s a picture worth when it comes without a caption? This may sound like an off-brand Zen koan, but it’s actually the windup to a small exercise in decoding ambiguous…
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Students of nuclear deterrence could learn something from the financial crisis. (So I’ve argued before.) One reason to think so appears in a review of Justin Fox’s new book, The Myth of the Rational Market. In Paul Krugman’s telling, Fox…
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In its present state of economic weakness, North Korea is very easy to underestimate. But just because its regime is unspeakable, its people are malnourished, and its electrical grid barely operates, that doesn’t mean that North Korea lacks for skilled…
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From KCNA: Bill Clinton Arrives Here Pyongyang, August 4 (KCNA) — Bill Clinton, former president of the United States, and his party arrived here Tuesday by air. They were greeted by Yang Hyong Sop, vice-president of the Presidium of the…
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If the paucity of North Korean Nodong MRBM tests prior to deployment doesn’t mean that it’s secretly an old Soviet weapon not seen previously, what does it mean? There are other explanations for a limited testing regime that don’t seem…
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As regular readers know, there’s something of a dispute in the wonk world over the nature and origins of the North Korean missile program. Basically, it comes down to two issues: First, did a team of Russian scientists and engineers…
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There was some heartburn in the comments about the heat-to-light ratio in Jeff’s post on the Washington Post and the Joint Threat Assessment on Iran. So let’s see if we can’t address the same topic from a slightly different angle.…
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The U.S., South Korea, and Japan all should have a pretty good idea of what kind of missiles North Korea is shooting into the Sea of Japan at any given time, what with all the radars and imaging systems available…
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Since Jeff and Pavel already have done such a nice job explicating the “Joint Understanding for the START Follow-On Treaty,” I’d thought I’d chime in with a couple of thoughts about its poor cousin, the “Joint Statement by Dmitry A.…
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According to David Sanger in the NYT, some folks in the Administration are thinking very carefully about the intelligence problem in interdiction: Pentagon officials are clearly not eager to confront the Kang Nam 1. The intelligence about what is on…
