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Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026 · 2,079 posts

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Emerging Powers and Nuclear Politics

Megan Garcia has penned a great little essay on “emerging powers” in nuclear politics in general, and Brazil in particular.  Let me also plug her monograph, Global Swing States and the Non-Proliferation Order. The subject is super important — one of the big…

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Crazy Korea Story

Several of my colleagues have been scratching their heads over a bizarre story that appeared in the Joongang Ilbo (“U.S. nukes to remain in South, To deter a North attack, weapons to stay after joint drills, possibly on sub”) that attributed…

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CNS/LLNL Safeguards Course

So, my employer — the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) — runs a nifty little safeguards course with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL).  I’ve heard really good things about it, so I can heartily recommend it. Also, it’s…

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Guest Post: Droning On

A friend and colleague who for some reason wishes to remain nameless offers some thoughts on the uses and abuses of unmanned aerial vehicles. -Jeffrey If we’ve learned anything from Sen. Rand Paul’s Senate-floor soliloquy, it’s that equal parts bluster…

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Ward Wilson Wednesdays Part 4

Yeah, so I missed a couple of Ward Wilson Wednesdays. Suck it. Ward’s final contribution contains an elaborated version of my favorite joke about the epistemology of deterrence.  Like the others, it’s an enjoyable read.  It’s been a pleasure hosting…

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FSA Overruns Al Kibar

Update | 10:24 pm 25 February 2013 Our reader friend sends along a fourth, high resolution video in which the narrator explains that the missiles on stationary launchers were to fired from inside the building, through openings in the roof.…

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Making Yield Estimates

Update | James says I misrepesented his method, which I may well have done.  He is going to post a comment that explains his method in better detail than I have apparently done. Apologies that it took so long to…

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Yield Estimation Placeholder

It’s late, I am tired.  I’ve got the better part of a post done, but I’ll finish it in the morning. Short version: don’t spend too much time estimating yield using the USGS Mb number.  It gives you only a…

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Inappropriate Target

Mother Jones and other groups are having a lot of fun with the fact that acting NNSA Associate Administrator for Defense Nuclear Security Steven Asher (above) spent a few years after retiring from the Air Force managing a Target retail store in…

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Ward Wilson Wednesdays Part 3

Another Wednesday, another Ward Wilson entry.  This one tackles two of my favorite cases: the  Yom Kippur and Falklands Islands  Wars. In case you are interesting, Parts 1 and 2 are also available. Doubts about Nuclear Deterrence, Part III: Yom…