Authors

Geoff Forden

Writing on ACW 2008–2010 · 142 posts

Article

DPRK Launch: Things to Look For

Weather conditions over the Korean peninsula look like they favor a Saturday, 4 April 2009 launch. Hopefully, we will see something more of the launch than the 10 seconds or so of video that came out for the Tae’podong 1…

Article

DPRK: Reading Between the Blurs

The image comes from ISIS while the outline to the left is my handiwork. I’m starting to feel rather parasitic about using ISIS’s pictures for analysis so I’d like to thank them for publishing them in such a timely fashion!…

Article

DPRK: Keeping its Secrets

Click on the image for a larger version (The 26 March 2009 image is from ISIS) If you haven’t seen it, check out ISIS’s latest report on North Korea’s missile launch preparation which shows an image of the launch site…

Article

Cosmic Clockwork

Click on the image for a larger version Just how much warning do you need? If a strange satellite came within 10 km of your satellite every month, would you start to worry? Apparently not, not that is, if you…

Article

First Guesses: DPRK’s Launcher

Click on the image for a larger version Everybody and his brother is using the announced splash down zones to try to model the North Korean satellite launcher scheduled to be test fired sometime between April 4th and 8th. So…

Article

DPRK’s Stay Clear Zones

North Korea has declared the stay clear zones ( as pointed out by a number of people in the comments to my alert post). You can down load a Google Earth file of these stay clear zones here. These zones…

Article

DPRK Sets Date Range for Launch

The ever alert wonk-reader, Allen Thomson, has pointed out that North Korea has stated it will attempt its satellite launch between April 4 and 8th. (Thanks Allen!) Hopefully, they will release a notification about where the stay-clear zones will be,…

Article

Shooting Down DPRK’s Satellite Launch

With all the talk about shooting down a possible North Korean satellite launch, I wanted to see just where the legal authority for such an action would come from. It turns out that its clear: it’s legal under Chapter VII…

Article

Nonproliferation and Banking Reform

UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown met with President Obama today and is reported to be pushing a “Global New Deal” to stop the economic slide. A key element of that program would be reforming bank regulation to prevent the sort…

Article

For Satellites, Danger Lurks at the Poles

Average probability of some (any) operational satellite at a give altitude being hit by something, either a piece of space debris, rocket body, or another satellite each year. This was calculated using a flux of space objects with diameters greater…