This post is from March 2007. Facts and links may have changed since. See more from that month

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Size Matters

I am having technical trouble with this post. The whole thing is cross posted at Danger Room.

Well, after American negotiators Chris Hill and Joe DeTrani admitted that earlier estimates of the North Korean nuclear program were exaggerated, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence is trying to put the toothpaste back in the tube.

Yeah, good luck with that.

ODNI released a statement by North Korea Mission Manager Joseph DeTrani stating that “The Intelligence Community had then, and continues to have, high confidence in its assessment that North Korea has pursued” a “uranium enrichment capability.”

OK, sure. Unfortunately, that has exactly nothing to do with the today’s controversy. From the late 1990s, the US intelligence community had suspected North Korea of “efforts to acquire a uranium enrichment capability.” So that wasn’t the issue. It was how big those efforts were that mattered—ultimately in leading the Bush Administration to pull out of talks in 2002. In other words, Pyongyang’s cheating on its previous nuclear deals wasn’t all that important; the size of the cheating was.

Read the rest at Danger Room

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026

Dr. Jeffrey Lewis is the founding publisher of Arms Control Wonk.com. He is the Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. His also a non-resident affiliate at Stanford's Center for Security and International Cooperation and a Contributing Editor to Survival.

All posts by Jeffrey Lewis