This post is from November 2006. Facts and links may have changed since. See more from that month

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North Korean Missile Exports

So, I am thumbing through Richard Grimmett’s CRS report Conventional Arms Transfers to Developing Nations, 1998-2005 to find this phrase:

Other non-European suppliers [ahem, North Korea] … delivered [to Near East region during the 2002-2005 period] 40 surface-to-surface missiles, a weapons category not delivered by any of the other major weapons suppliers during this period to any region.

I was looking for it, after a friend forwarded me this story by Thom Shanker citing “Pentagon and other administration officials” to identify the “non-European” supplier as North Korea.

From the context of the report and Shanker’s reporting, I would imagine the 40 missiles are at least two sales by North Korea:

  • 15 Scub missiles sold to Yemen in 2002.
  • 18 SS-N-6 missiles sold to Iran in 2005.

Yeah, I know that’s only 33. Grimmet might be rounding up, or a third sale may have taken place. But, what had me excited, is Grimmet cites the “U.S. government” as the source confirming the arms transfers. I thought, perhaps, this was implicit, official confirmation the North Korea transferred the SS-N-6 to Iran—a story about which I am very skeptical (for one, I am not sure I believe North Korea has such a missile).

But, alas, the table contains this note:

Data relating to surface-to-surface and anti-ship missiles by foreign suppliers are estimates based on a variety of sources having a wide range of accuracy. As such, individual data entries in these two weapons delivery categories are not necessarily definitive.

So, still no confirmation.

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026

Dr. Jeffrey Lewis is the founding publisher of Arms Control Wonk.com. He is the Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. His also a non-resident affiliate at Stanford's Center for Security and International Cooperation and a Contributing Editor to Survival.

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