This post is from January 2005. Facts and links may have changed since. See more from that month

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Missile Defense Software


This doesn’t usually happen. Honest.

MDA Director Henry “Trey” Obering (right) attributes the failure of IFT-13C to a “very minor computer software glitch.”

Noah Shachtman, however, has posted a fantastic analysis from former DOD Director of Operational Test and Evaluation Phil Coyle who argues the software glitch is anything but minor.

Rather, the glitch reflects inherent challenges of processing the massive amount of information needed for a hit-to-kill missile defense intercept:

I also read Obering’s comments about message drop out rates as suggesting that they also had a problem with the 1553 data bus on board the interceptor.

[snip]

Basically, the 1553 data bus is too slow and doesn’t have the capacity to handle the tons of information the interceptor has to process.

[snip]

A 1553 data bus in a high-speed missile system can be like trying to go 3,000 mph on shoe leather.

Or drinking from a firehouse like that kid in UHF.

Anyway, worth a read.

The demands on software were one of first objections to the SDI program proposed by President Reagan. Twenty years into the computing revolution a case study loooking at software requirements then and now concludes that missile defense still “presents the most challenging real-world software engineering problem imaginable – to interpret real-time sensor data taken under natural conditions and appropriately handle an attack by an intelligent adversary likely to employ strategies that have not been fully anticipated.”

That case study—Kevin W. Bowyer, “Star Wars Revisited – A Continuing Case Studay in Ethics and Safety-Critical Software,” IEEE Technology and Society 21:1 (Spring 2002) 13-26—is based on a series of debates hosted at MIT in the 1980s. It is available on-line.

Jeffrey Lewis

Writing on ACW 2004–2026

Dr. Jeffrey Lewis is the founding publisher of Arms Control Wonk.com. He is the Director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. His also a non-resident affiliate at Stanford's Center for Security and International Cooperation and a Contributing Editor to Survival.

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