Despite White House denials that the U.S. is “considering any proposals that would allow the Iranians to retain any enrichment-related activities,” AP’s George Jahn reports that the United States is considering a “cold standby” proposal for Natanz that would Iran…
Greetings from the Red Carpet Club in Tokyo’s Narita Airport, where I am awaiting my (now delayed) flight back to DC. I came across this interesting little document, a letter from six eight Senators to Indian President Prime Minister Singh…
Michael Gordon in the New York Times—disclaimer: I am quoted—details the Bush Administration’s decision to say nothing to Chinese to discourage their January 2007 ASAT test: What administration officials did not say is that as the Chinese were preparing to…
Hey, all. I am in Tokyo, attending a conference, Collective Security in Space: Asian Perspectives on Acceptable Approaches sponsored by the Space Policy Institute, Center for Nonproliferation Studies and the Research Institute for Peace and Security. I was having breakfast…
Jennifer Mackby and Edward Ifft remind us that START is set to expire and that letting START expire would suck: The crowning international security agreement that reduced and stabilized nuclear forces in the former Soviet Union and the United States…
Dafna Linzer helpfully confirms that the IC is sticking with its 2015 estimate for an Iranian bomb, noting that Iran still cannot operate continuously its cascades of centrifuges: “The whole game for the Iranians is to present a fait accompli,”…
Ah, the mighty “told you so.” Paul and moi expressed skepticism last week that Iran had 3,000 centrifuges, sticking with the six cascades (984) reported at the end of March plus one or more 164-machine cascades after. Now, Paul points…
Mike Levi and Graham Allison are having a little throwdown over “How Likely is a Nuclear Terrorist Attack on the United States?” on the CFR website. Oddly, both agree that the stated topic of discussion—the probability of an attack—is irrelevant:…
After reading for the last week that North Korea is just waiting for the money, I’ve started to wonder what the big deal is; just take it already. Turns out, they haven’t been able to withdraw it from the bank,…
This is a slide from an August 2005 presentation by Colonel Rick Patenaude, chief of the deterrence and strike division within Air Force Space Command (AFSPC), entitled, Prompt Global Strike Update. I’ve posted the slide, becuase Patenaude reveals something very…
