456 posts
The Bush Adminstration has said, time and time again, that the Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty, or SORT, more commonly known as the Moscow Treaty, shows that relations with Russia are just fine. This came up, naturally, in the context of…
Sorry for the light blogging this week. So, the deal is: I am off to Hawaii to marry off a friend. That—and the fact that the lovely other wishes for a tranquil vacation in Hawaii—conspires to deprive you of my…
Hans Kristensen has pieced together a history of Russian nuclear submarine patrols over 1981-2004: The Russian nuclear submarine force is far less active than during the Cold War. Since 1984, according to information obtained from the U.S. Navy, the annual…
Dafna Linzer has a long article in the Washington Post describing a new National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) placing an Iranian bomb a decade or so away: A major U.S. intelligence review has projected that Iran is about a decade away…
South Korea National Intelligence Service (NIS) HQ Both Jeffrey and I have written before, about whether North Korea has a deliverable nuclear weapon. Just to provide another data point, ROK intelligence reportedly assessed in February that Seoul’s northern neighbor may…
Wow, my appearance on C-SPAN was interesting. I expected to dislike the Heritage Foundation’s John Tkacik, who proved pretty affable—though our politics are pretty far apart. Tkacik and I were having a civil debate about the significance of recent remarks…
How many nuclear bombs does North Korea have? That depends on their plutonium (Pu) stockpile and design skill. In April 2004, David Sanger claimed AQ Khan told Pakistani interrogators that he saw three plutonium bombs in North Korea. Today, buried…
My physician would like to run some tests. Please send HEU to me, c/o Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri, Pakistan. COD is okay. Stephen Young, once and future guest blogger at ACW, highlighted an obscure provision in the soon-to-pass Energy bill that…
Leonard David at Space.com let me unload on DOD’s Chinese Military Power, which claims China intends to field ASATs: No evidence to back up claims Jeffrey Lewis, a Research Fellow at the Center for International and Security Studies at the…
A couple of news outlets have mentioned that North Korea demanded the United States withdraw the “nuclear umbrella” extended to South Korea. Bloomberg cited Xinhua, which was citing Yonhap. Here is the quote from Yonhap: The top North Korean negotiator,…
