Pinkston on NORK Goodies
The International Crisis Group, to my mind, is a very uneven operation. It also annoys me that they never sign their reports. But Dan Pinkston, out in Seoul, has a trio of very good reports on North Korea’s Chemical and…
Jeffrey Lewis
Writing on ACW 2004–2026 · 2,079 posts
Article·
Sagan on No First Use
Scott Sagan argues very convincingly in the pages of Survival that the United States should adopt a declaratory policy of “no first use” of nuclear weapons (Scott D. Sagan, “The Case for No First Use,” Survival 51:3, June–July 2009, pp.…
Article·
IC Surprised at NORK Test?
… well, that’s what anonymous senior intelligence official told FOX news: North Korea’s decision to detonate a nuclear device underground Monday caught the United States by surprise, officials said. “They didn’t give us any warning whatsoever,” one senior U.S. intelligence…
Article·
SS-21 Debris In Georgia, Revisited
Hey, remember how much fun (more) we had trying to determine which Russian missiles were fired into Georgia from pictures of debris, such as this rocket body laying on an unfortunate sedan? Well, the new NASIC slickee (aka Ballistic and…
Article·
2009 Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat
Hans has the new National Air and Space Intelligence Center Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat. Lots and lots of pretty pictures, especially of the DF-31, as well as new information. (Lest you think I just love missile-porn — which I…
Article·
Show me the FOGBANK
The plot thickens, thanks to Frank Munger’s continued pursuit of FOGBANK. Munger has a pair of blog posts (Is there more to the story about the W76? Y-12: fogbank produced in Spring 2008) that put NNSA and POGO on a…
Article·
Thirteen Cascades in Vacuum
Just a short note from Amman about the IAEA report on Iran … In February, after the last IAEA DG report came out, I warned readers not to buy IAEA DG Mohamed ElBaradei’s analysis that “the pace of installing and…
Article·
IAEA Reports on Iran and Syria
Here are the new IAEA reports on Iran and Syria. Analysis to come.
Article·
Greetings from Amman
I had to work today, so I decided to do it pool-side. Life is tough, I know. Tomorrow I am attending a two-day conference organized by the Financial Services Volunteer Corps and funded by the Carnegie Corporation. We meet every…
Article·
W76 Problems Seem Overblown
Greetings from the Lufthansa Senators Lounge in Frankfurt. I’ve been struggling with how to describe Ralph Vartabedian’s story in the Los Angeles Times about the W76 Life Extension Program. On one hand, Vartabedian (with some help from POGO) dug out…