Authors

Andy Grotto

Writing on ACW 2007–2008 · 32 posts

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AP: China Gives IAEA Intel on Iran

So say anonymous diplomatic sources to AP reporter George Jahn. Bearing in mind the usual caveats about anonymous sources, this is noteworthy on at least two levels. First, it is an encouraging sign of China’s (too) slow but promising embrace…

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BBC Poll on Iran Nukes

The headline from the press release of a new BBC World Service poll reads Declining Support for Tough Measures against Iran’s Nuclear Program: Global Poll. This poll is flawed and should be interpreted with caution. First, some background. The poll…

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The IAEA Report on Iran

The Institute for Science and International Security has obtained a copy of IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei’s report on Iran. The report makes it clear that Iran has no intention of addressing the most sensitive of the outstanding questions, namely…

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Russia's Subtle Shift on Iran

Iran’s ballistic missile tests last week have sparked unusually harsh criticism from Russia. According to the BBC, Russian officials have said the tests raised suspicion over the true aim of [Iran’s] nuclear programme. This is remarkable coming from Moscow, and…

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Preemptive Nukes in NATO?

Five retired military strategists from key NATO countries — including Gen. John Shalikashvili, chairman of the Joint Chiefs under Pres. Clinton and former NATO commander — have authored a manifesto on NATO’s future saying among other things that: The first…

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One-Stop Shopping for Complete OTA Library

I came across this really cool resource today and thought I’d share it with my fellow wonks. It’s the complete library of reports prepared by the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment, with links to the full text of each report.…

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CIA Knew About Israeli Nukes in '74

So says the 1974 Special National Intelligence Assessment, “Prospects for further proliferation of nuclear weapons,” declassified the other day by the Bush administration. Avner Cohen and William Burr were able to get a portion of the document released in early…

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Sen. Clinton's Pakistan Nukes Proposal

It’s public knowledge that the United States has helped Pakistan secure its nuclear complex in the past, but Senator Clinton’s proposal at the Democratic debate on Sunday is by far the most ambitious yet. She said she would try to…

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Ensign Seeks NIE 2nd Guess Before Recess

I figured that Senator John Ensign’s (R-Nev) blatant attempt to politicize the Iran NIE would go nowhere, but my sources on the Hill tell me his effort is still very much alive. Ensign’s goal is to write the commission into…

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Official: NIE Risks 2nd Yom Kippur War

Avi Dichter, Israel’s public security minister, said today that the Iran NIE could result in another Yom Kippur War. Dichter is referring to the surprise 1973 attack on Israel led by Egypt and Syria on Yom Kippur, the most important…