Arms Control Wonk

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CIA Declassifies 1948-1972 NIEs on China

The CIA has partially declassified “over seventy National Intelligence Estimates on China covering the period 1948-76.” The Agency claims this is “the largest such release ever made at one time.” The documents were also published in a book and CD/ROM…

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Vandenberg, Greely … Fylingdales?

The Independent reports that Washington and London have secretly agreed to place a US missile defense interceptor site at RAF Fylingdales in the UK. London insists Washington made no formal request to site the missiles, but The Independent reports a…

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North Korea … after further review

Paul is right; Chuck Kartman is talking about North Korea’s ability to reprocess Pu during the pre-1994 period. As for the post-2002 period (when North Korea may have reprocessed 8,000 spent fuel rods frozen under the 1994 Agreed Framework). In…

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North Korea and the Bomb Redux

Paul Kerr suggests that I need to make clear that there are 2 different time periods during which NK may have reprocessed spent nuclear fuel: before the 1994 Agreed Framework and after the 2002 ejection of inspectors. During the latter…

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How many bombs in North Korea?

Well, this is an interesting little development. As you know, ArmsControlWonk was a little uncertain about estimates that North Korea has produced “at least eight” nuclear weapons. There are two reasons for uncertainty. 1. That’s a lot of bombs, given…

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Congressional Research Service on Space Systems

The Congressional Research Service has a recent summary of US space systems that contains paragraphs about important weapons-related efforts including NFIRE. Marcia S. Smith, U.S. Space Programs: Civilian, Military, and Commercial (September 28, 2004).

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ISODARCO Wrap Up

Sorry for the long lapse in posts—the Chinese internet browser was not letting me use blogger. ISODARCO is off-the-record, but you’ll probably see little bits and pieces pop up over the next few weeks. Something I can say is that…

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9th ISODARCO Research Seminar, Nanjing, China

I’ll be giving a talk, Space Weaponization Spending in FY2005 Defense Budget, at the 9th PIIC Beijing Seminar on International Security (12-15 October 2004) in Nanjing, China. Yes, the Beijing Seminar is being held in Nanjing. How should I know?…

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Kaplan on Strangelove

Fred Kaplan, author of The Wizards of Armageddon, has a review of Stanley Kubrick’s Dr. Strangelove: Or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb in the New York Times. The whole thing is worth a read, but…

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Bush Tries to Take Kim up the Qadhafi

U.S. Representative Curt Weldon (R-PA) has apparently confirmed that the United States is attempting to establish a backchannel with North Korea through Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi [I am going with the State Dept. spelling]. In July, US National Security Advisor…