TotalWonkerr v. Golfarb
Paul continues his quixotic battle to introduce Michael Goldfarb at The Weekly Standard to methodological rigor. Shorter Paul: Absence of evidence is absence of evidence.
Jeffrey Lewis
Writing on ACW 2004–2026 · 2,079 posts
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Wassenaar Arrangement: Hot or Not?
Samuel Evans says no in perhaps the most discouraging title ever for a professional talk: “Wassenaar Arrangement: Unsexiest of International Regimes.” I can’t make this stuff up. Evans, a Visiting Researcher at Georgetown’s Center for Peace and Security Studies and…
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SC-19
Greetings from Geneva! I have to give a talk on ASAT weapons here at the UNIDIR conference, Celebrating the Space Age: 50 Years of Technology, 40 Years of the Outer Space Treaty. My talk will center of the role that…
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NIE on Iran's WMD Programs
I reviewed Shahram Chubin’s Iran’s Nuclear Intentions for the journal Middle East Policy. In that review, I discussed the provenance of the 2005 NIE on Iran’s WMD programs. Chubin asserts that members of the US intelligence community produced a “tainted”…
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Movement at the CD?
José Maria Sert’s 1934 mural depicting the progress of humankind toward peace. Wow, the Conference on Disarmament may be moving toward a program of work. The good folks at Reaching Critical Will report that the CD could take a decision…
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More Tarhuna CW Facility
Adding to my post on Tarhuna from yesterday (Tarhuna CW Facility, March 25, 2007), Paul observes that the unclassified Final Report of the The Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United States Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction makes a…
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Tarhuna CW Facility
Do you remember Libya’s alleged second chemical weapons facility near Tarhuna? In February 1996, then-DCI John Deutch accused Libya of “building the world’s largest underground chemical weapons plant” near Tarhuna. A few months later, a State Department spokesperson explained: Libya…
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Space Based Bob Still In Orbit
Al Kamen include a funny little blurb in this week’s “In The Loop”: Are you opposed to nuclear proliferation? Are you a current or maybe former civil servant eligible for the Interagency Career Transition Assistance Program? Then hurry up and…
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Energy Independence (Again) for Iran
A couple of months ago I posted an an unclassified report, The Economics of Energy Independence for Iran, authored by employees of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and Los Alamos National Laboratory. I took it down, so as not to interfere…
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Tommy Franks, Ladies and Gentlemen
I am preparing a case study on the Dora Farms strike at the onset of Operation Iraqi Freedom. I came across this priceless calculation by General Tommy Franks and one of his subordinates: “What the probabilities of mission success with…